Punjab Kings are slight favorites to defeat the Gujarat Titans in IPL 2026 Match 4 at Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, Mullanpur, on March 31, 2026.

PBKS holds a 52% win probability against GT, backed by their home advantage and a well-settled squad that finished as runners-up in IPL 2025.

This clash carries extra storylines, too. Shreyas Iyer leads a side hungry to go one step further after losing the 2025 final to RCB, while Shubman Gill brings a Gujarat unit that was knocked out in the Eliminator by the Mumbai Indians last season.

Both captains have points to prove, and both teams have something to settle. The stage is set.

PBKS vs GT Match 4 Direct Odds

Punjab Kings enter this match as marginal favorites across major betting platforms.

Home support at Mullanpur and a slightly better head-to-head record in recent encounters give PBKS the edge on paper.

PBKS’s odds hover around 1.85–1.95, reflecting their status as the marginal favorites at home.

GT offers better returns at 2.00–2.15 for punters willing to back them as the visiting side.

PBKS vs GT Match 4 Info Table

PBKS vs GT Toss Prediction Odds

The toss at Mullanpur is a trickier call than usual, and here’s why.

Historical data at this venue shows teams batting first have won 6 out of 11 matches, suggesting the surface still rewards setting a target.

However, TheTopBookies notes that chasing teams have won the last 8 of 10 matches at this venue, suggesting a surface that slows as the game progresses.

The pitch on which this match is played, Pitch No. 4, was the same surface used in the PBKS vs CSK game last season, where PBKS put up 219, and CSK responded with 201. Coach Ricky Ponting has publicly predicted another high-scoring affair.

Toss Impact at Mullanpur Stadium

Toss Prediction: Given the Pitch No. 4 record and the batting-first advantage, the toss winner is likely to opt to bat first.

PBKS vs GT Players Odds

Individual performances could tilt this match decisively either way.

Both squads have match-winners who can change the game in a single passage of play.

Punjab Kings Key Players

Gujarat Titans Key Players

Player to Watch: Sai Sudharsan starts IPL 2026 as the defending Orange Cap holder. He has scored 40 runs off just 17 balls against Chahal across career T20s, with zero dismissals. That particular battle will be critical to how this match unfolds.

PBKS vs GT Match Prediction, Who Will Win

Punjab Kings are predicted to win this encounter.

Their settled squad, home advantage, and deeper batting firepower give them the slight edge in a contest that looks extremely evenly matched on paper.

That said, a 52-48 split in win probability means this is genuinely a coin-toss type game. Don’t expect a blowout.

Why PBKS Holds the Edge

• Explosive top order: The Priyansh Arya–Prabhsimran Singh opening duo combined for 532 partnership runs in IPL 2025, the most in a season by an uncapped opening pair.
• Shreyas Iyer’s form: He smashed 97* off 42 balls in the last encounter between these two sides in IPL 2025. He’s already warmed up and knows this GT bowling attack well.
• Death batting strength: PBKS scored at a rate of 12 runs per over in overs 16-20 during IPL 2025, one of the best death-over batting records in the competition.
• All-round depth: Marcus Stoinis, Marco Jansen, and Azmatullah Omarzai give the Kings genuine match-winning all-round options, something GT’s middle order doesn’t quite match.
• Home familiarity: Punjab Kings have played consistently well at Mullanpur, even defending a meager 112 against KKR in 2025, a game that showed the entire country what this team is capable of.

GT’s Challenges

• Top-order dependency: GT remains heavily reliant on Gill, Sudharsan, and Buttler. If two of those three fail, their middle order has historically struggled. 
• Jos Buttler’s form: Buttler enters IPL 2026 without strong recent T20 form, which is a concern for a side that needs all three openers firing.
• Poor record at this venue: GT lost the IPL 2025 Eliminator at Mullanpur to MI and were beaten here by PBKS in 2024 when batting first. This is not a happy hunting ground for them.
• Lockie Ferguson absent: Ferguson misses the opener due to parental leave, reducing PBKS’s raw pace bowling options, but for GT, facing a Marco Jansen–Arshdeep Singh combination in Mullanpur’s conditions is no picnic either.

Match Prediction: Punjab Kings to win by a narrow margin.

PBKS vs GT Head To Head (Overall Head To Head Data)

Since GT entered the IPL in 2022, the two franchises have faced each other six times. Every game has had a clear winner, no ties, no drama off the pitch, all settled on the field.

It’s perfectly level at 3-3 overall, but GT have won 3 of the last 5 encounters, giving them a small edge in recent form. That said, PBKS won the most recent meeting by 11 runs in a high-scoring IPL 2025 game in Ahmedabad, with Shreyas Iyer’s 97* doing the heavy lifting. 

The one previous IPL meeting at this specific venue in Mullanpur went GT’s way, they chased down 142 by 3 wickets in 2024, with R Sai Kishore taking 4/33 for the Player of the Match award.

Suggested Reads:

• GT vs CSK Head-to-Head In IPL
• RCB vs PBKS Head-to-Head In IPL

Final Verdict

PBKS vs GT Match 4 sets up as one of the most genuinely competitive games of this IPL 2026 season opener.

Punjab Kings hold the advantage with home support, a fearless batting lineup, and the spine of last season’s finalists. If the Arya-Prabhsimran opening stand fires early, GT will be chasing the game from the first over.

But Sai Sudharsan and Shubman Gill are a genuine opening pair capable of overhauling any target on this surface. And Rashid Khan in Mullanpur’s conditions is a matchup no middle order takes lightly.

Expect a high-scoring contest with the par score around 175–185 runs. Given the recent trend at this venue, the team that bats second might have a slight edge if they get their powerplay right. This one has last-over thriller written all over it.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. Betting involves financial risk. Please gamble responsibly.